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PROOF that Golden Packs are better than Quick Drafts for Set Completion | MTG Arena Economy Guide

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Game School Dad - MTG Arena

Get the most out of the MTG Arena economy without spending any money at all (unless you want to) with this complete beginners guide to building your collection the best way. It's time to prove for sure that buying packs in the store and unlocking Golden Packs is a better strategy for completing your card collection than doing endless quick draft events.

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Standard Pack Guaranteed Value
Each pack gives 1 rare and 7 commons/uncommons.
Every 6 packs gives 1 uncommon wildcard and 1 rare wildcard. (1/6 per pack = 0.17)
Every 10 packs gives 1 golden pack, which is equal to 6 rares (6/10 per pack = 0.6)
Rares in a pack equal 1 + 0.17 + 0.6 = 1.77
Commons/uncommons in a pack equal 7 + 0.17 = 7.17

5 packs is 5 x 1.77 = 8.85 rares
and 5 x 7.17 = 35.85 commons/uncommons

If a quick draft costs 5,000 gold, it needs to provide more value than this.

Quick Drafts provide, on average, 67 rares and about 45 commons/uncommons, including the free reward pack.

Add to this the value of 300 gems reward, which is 1.5 packs, or 2.7 rares and 10.8 commons/uncommons. This gives the Quick Draft a value of 8.79.7 rares and 55.8 commons/uncommons, which is slightly higher than the guaranteed value from buying packs.

If paying for a Quick Draft in gems, the equivalent value is 3.5 packs, which is
3.5 x 1.77 = 6.195 rares
3.5 x 7.17 = 25.095 commons/uncommons

Add to this the value of the reward gems, a Quick Draft entry paid in gems is equal in cost to just 2.25 packs, which is
2.25 x 1.77 = 3.9825 rares
2.25 x 7.17 = 16.1325 commons/uncommons

This makes a Quick Draft paid in gold slightly better and a Quick Draft paid in gems significantly better if no card duplication occurs, and if we don't include the value of wildcards.

The biggest difference comes from the duplication protection you get from packs, and the fact that they can give you extra wildcards. This benefit makes a bigger difference the nearer you get to set completion.

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posted by zobkihm